Betting Lines
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | JAX +105 FGCU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -5.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -3.2 (-0.2) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -4.4 (-1.4) | 131.8 (+3.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -4.4 (-1.4) | 133.8 (+1.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -4.5 (-1.5) | 133.4 (+1.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | FGCU 86 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FGCU 68 – 49 JAX |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FGCU 72 – 56 JAX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 79 JAX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FGCU 59 – 57 JAX |
Game Analysis
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