Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -1700 COLU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -22.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -13.8 (+1.2) | 150.1 (+2.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -15.5 (-0.5) | 155.7 (-2.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -16.9 (-1.9) | 155.3 (-2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -15.8 (-0.8) | 154.9 (-1.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COLU 75 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | PRIN 80 – 68 COLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRIN 73 – 68 COLU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PRIN 71 – 67 COLU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PRIN 84 – 70 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 1-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 3-10 |
| Away | 8-4 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | -15.2 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#69) | -3.23 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#85) | -4.33 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#87) | 0.287 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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