Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -3.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -2.5 (-3.5) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -2.7 (-3.7) | 135.6 (+9.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -2.9 (-3.9) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -2.1 (-3.1) | 136.8 (+8.2) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2022 | NCAT 78 – 71 RAD |
| Feb 26, 2022 | RAD 62 – 53 NCAT |
Game Analysis
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