Radford
Highlanders
71
–
78
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Hercules Tires Big South Championship
North Carolina A&T
Aggies
Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | RAD +105 NCAT -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -0.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -1.4 (-8.4) | 125.3 (+23.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -0.6 (-7.6) | 129.1 (+19.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -0.7 (-7.7) | 129.6 (+19.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -0.8 (-7.8) | 128.8 (+20.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2022 | RAD 62 – 53 NCAT |
| Jan 8, 2022 | NCAT 73 – 72 RAD |
Game Analysis
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