Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +2 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -8.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -7.7 (+9.7) | 136.7 (-22.7) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -8.5 (+10.5) | 139.6 (-25.6) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -10.6 (+12.6) | 139.4 (-25.4) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -9.2 (+11.2) | 137.8 (-23.8) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2023 | CBU 74 – 62 CHST |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CBU 62 – 53 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#339) | -0.9 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#317) | 1.14 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#318) | 0.94 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#307) | 0.519 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 25.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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