Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -650 CHST +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -12.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -10.5 (+1.5) | 132.7 (+3.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -10.0 (+2.0) | 135.4 (+0.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -10.1 (+1.9) | 134.4 (+1.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -10.1 (+1.9) | 133.0 (+3.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | CBU 62 – 53 CHST |
| Jan 8, 2022 | CHST 58 – 56 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Home | 11-7 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#174) | -8.1 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#184) | -1.31 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#177) | -2.42 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#218) | 0.429 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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