Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +9 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -13.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -11.0 (-2.0) | 140.2 (-25.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -11.3 (-2.3) | 140.1 (-25.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -10.8 (-1.8) | 139.2 (-24.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -11.6 (-2.6) | 139.3 (-24.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 28, 2023 | CBU 74 – 62 CHST |
| Jan 8, 2022 | CHST 58 – 56 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#200) | -12.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#219) | -1.98 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#219) | -2.63 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#264) | 0.399 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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