And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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65–31 on winners spread MAE 8.4 96 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Lafayette @ Holy Cross -2.8 136.2 35% 74–79 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +13.7 143.2 88% 55–73 ✓
Cornell @ Pennsylvania +0.7 156.0 54% 65–79 ✓
Columbia @ Princeton +15.5 155.7 90% 69–84 ✓
Brown @ Harvard +2.7 141.2 66% 84–73 ✗
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy +6.7 136.8 76% 60–85 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +8.3 142.0 81% 71–61 ✗
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris -5.3 148.1 28% 78–77 ✓
Marist @ Fairfield +2.7 137.1 67% 60–51 ✗
Xavier @ Butler -9.8 131.6 18% 87–72 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +0.9 147.6 52% 75–84 ✓
Purdue @ Penn State -5.5 142.6 32% 74–67 ✓
Wichita State @ Houston +15.5 136.9 89% 66–76 ✓
St. John's @ Providence +6.7 146.4 75% 73–83 ✓
UConn @ Seton Hall +1.7 141.7 59% 87–90 ✓
Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word +0.4 138.2 53% 50–60 ✓
Clemson @ NC State -2.4 152.1 37% 70–65 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire +8.7 130.4 84% 62–64 ✓
Duquesne @ Massachusetts +4.6 153.6 71% 78–74 ✗
Dayton @ George Washington -6.2 131.1 27% 83–58 ✓
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt +5.1 135.0 72% 72–70 ✗
California Baptist @ Chicago State -8.5 139.6 20% 56–58 ✗
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut -1.4 131.3 41% 66–57 ✓
Virginia @ North Carolina +5.8 135.9 74% 58–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Omaha -7.9 147.8 21% 71–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI +4.6 134.5 71% 72–56 ✗
Arkansas @ Texas A&M +5.1 148.6 74% 81–86 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma State -3.6 129.9 32% 51–64 ✗
Villanova @ DePaul -5.9 135.5 29% 79–64 ✓
East Carolina @ Temple +4.7 138.2 70% 75–78 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +5.6 148.0 74% 70–75 ✓
Hampton @ Gardner-Webb +13.7 131.9 86% 69–78 ✓
Syracuse @ Wake Forest +7.8 158.5 79% 74–77 ✓
Maine @ Stony Brook +14.3 140.4 90% 72–80 ✓
Kansas State @ West Virginia +6.6 130.1 77% 68–71 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +15.4 131.5 88% 58–72 ✓
Rhode Island @ Davidson +7.0 139.4 77% 68–72 ✓
VCU @ La Salle -8.0 130.9 18% 85–66 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Toledo +16.6 137.5 90% 63–94 ✓
Nebraska @ Rutgers +7.4 147.0 81% 65–93 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State -5.8 153.8 25% 80–79 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +7.7 144.7 77% 71–84 ✓
Arkansas State @ UL Monroe +1.4 150.6 57% 90–83 ✗
UT Arlington @ Georgia Southern +3.1 132.1 64% 73–74 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Western Illinois +0.4 156.2 52% 87–86 ✗
Western Carolina @ Samford +5.2 155.9 72% 60–85 ✓
Alabama @ Missouri -11.4 148.7 16% 86–92 ✗
Ball State @ Eastern Michigan +5.0 152.6 70% 78–72 ✗
Kansas @ Texas Tech -0.2 143.2 48% 67–75 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +1.9 133.8 52% 49–79 ✓
South Florida @ Tulane +6.2 132.9 75% 54–68 ✓
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +1.5 151.3 57% 74–65 ✗
Hawai'i @ Long Beach State +2.5 151.3 59% 72–67 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge +1.7 128.7 58% 55–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State +2.3 159.6 62% 84–95 ✓
Murray State @ SIU Edwardsville -10.8 144.3 17% 74–69 ✓
Grambling @ Bethune-Cookman +3.3 135.8 64% 68–66 ✗
Southern @ Florida A&M -4.5 133.9 33% 80–66 ✓
UAB @ Rice -5.7 150.2 25% 80–85 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ UTSA -11.0 143.8 15% 79–63 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +10.1 145.2 86% 85–71 ✗
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +15.5 145.9 89% 71–79 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ St. Francis Brooklyn +1.8 130.9 58% 69–61 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian +7.1 136.2 73% 82–72 ✗
Boston College @ Pittsburgh +1.1 129.0 55% 67–69 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +2.2 136.8 63% 67–56 ✗
Bradley @ Loyola Chicago +13.1 142.1 87% 71–78 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver +10.1 147.1 85% 74–93 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +9.9 145.7 83% 66–81 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +0.1 143.1 53% 68–57 ✗
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +15.7 150.0 89% 67–85 ✓
Belmont @ UT Martin -12.4 151.0 15% 81–55 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Radford +2.7 135.6 62% 73–72 ✗
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +15.7 147.3 89% 59–82 ✓
Baylor @ TCU -6.2 142.0 24% 76–64 ✓
Drake @ Evansville -10.7 136.0 17% 60–59 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green +0.3 156.4 54% 83–87 ✓
Morehead State @ Austin Peay -5.7 141.5 27% 66–55 ✓
App State @ Troy +3.6 131.1 70% 53–68 ✓
Stetson @ North Florida +1.3 137.3 50% 68–66 ✗
Alcorn State @ Alabama A&M -1.7 129.9 47% 78–71 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama State -2.5 132.3 37% 57–72 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M +11.6 161.2 87% 84–82 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +2.0 143.1 61% 66–64 ✗
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +2.1 130.2 55% 66–79 ✓
Georgia @ Kentucky +20.2 152.2 91% 77–92 ✓
Tennessee @ LSU +7.3 132.0 75% 67–79 ✓
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +5.4 147.0 72% 54–67 ✓
Washington State @ Utah -0.7 141.0 50% 77–61 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ North Texas +8.4 127.8 77% 63–70 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +0.3 135.3 50% 72–68 ✗
Cornell @ Princeton +6.0 158.7 78% 70–72 ✓
Columbia @ Pennsylvania +12.0 149.0 87% 73–69 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville +4.4 131.8 68% 66–69 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Missouri State +6.3 144.4 73% 85–84 ✗
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +10.2 156.8 87% 93–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.