You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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71–18 on winners spread MAE 8.4 89 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas +20.9 147.7 90% 58–88 ✓
Kansas @ St. John's -0.4 159.9 41% 95–75 ✓
South Carolina State @ South Florida +10.7 129.8 65% 65–64 ✗
Colgate @ Northeastern +4.1 134.0 66% 69–74 ✓
Charleston @ Furman +9.4 162.4 81% 88–91 ✓
Coppin State @ Cornell +13.7 155.1 84% 77–92 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac -0.6 144.4 53% 69–59 ✓
Rider @ Iona +11.8 141.0 86% 54–80 ✓
Manhattan @ Siena -2.5 136.6 35% 77–72 ✓
Monmouth @ Niagara +1.9 138.0 60% 57–49 ✗
Fairfield @ Canisius -0.8 149.0 51% 74–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Illinois +5.8 140.2 75% 51–86 ✓
Bryant @ Houston +23.7 140.6 90% 44–111 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP +2.6 140.3 60% 72–69 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Louisiana +4.6 144.0 67% 67–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +15.5 125.8 85% 56–57 ✓
Iowa @ Purdue +7.3 165.8 75% 70–77 ✓
Tulsa @ Boise State +10.7 135.2 82% 58–63 ✓
Pepperdine @ UC Santa Barbara +12.8 138.0 87% 74–86 ✓
VMI @ Portland +9.2 139.1 80% 90–82 ✗
North Dakota @ San José State +13.0 141.2 86% 51–76 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Villanova +19.4 145.6 88% 52–81 ✓
Memphis @ Ole Miss -1.2 141.5 48% 63–67 ✗
Harvard @ Massachusetts +4.6 157.4 71% 77–87 ✓
Clemson @ Miami +0.6 143.5 54% 75–80 ✓
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee +2.8 140.1 60% 69–77 ✓
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -15.3 126.5 15% 78–45 ✓
Nebraska @ Indiana +12.2 153.7 85% 55–68 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin +10.7 139.7 80% 76–89 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +5.7 126.4 69% 58–72 ✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina +3.7 148.7 65% 64–74 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Loyola Maryland +8.1 133.9 78% 55–61 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Indiana State +1.9 150.4 61% 68–69 ✓
Binghamton @ Boston University +13.2 139.0 87% 63–68 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne -0.7 143.0 49% 57–71 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Omaha -6.5 145.1 18% 92–81 ✓
Tennessee @ Colorado -4.2 145.0 34% 69–54 ✓
Yale @ Auburn +15.2 150.5 85% 64–86 ✓
UT Martin @ Western Illinois +14.0 147.6 86% 64–81 ✓
Georgia State @ Mercer +2.5 150.0 60% 77–83 ✓
Bucknell @ Hofstra +14.8 157.6 86% 69–88 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulane +3.1 137.8 65% 64–85 ✓
North Carolina Central @ UNC Asheville +7.6 133.1 76% 66–82 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Evansville +0.5 138.7 50% 51–59 ✓
Rhode Island @ Providence +5.5 136.9 74% 52–66 ✓
Holy Cross @ La Salle +9.7 136.7 83% 65–84 ✓
George Washington @ Charlotte +6.8 138.0 72% 79–86 ✓
Maine @ Columbia +11.0 136.2 87% 66–77 ✓
Louisville @ NC State -1.1 146.0 45% 73–68 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech +8.6 140.7 74% 80–61 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Dayton +15.1 131.2 87% 41–79 ✓
Delaware State @ Longwood +18.1 132.9 89% 58–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Bradley +2.6 134.4 62% 55–80 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina +3.8 143.6 68% 52–62 ✓
Northwestern State @ UL Monroe +14.5 149.5 87% 71–84 ✓
William & Mary @ Davidson +20.3 141.3 90% 46–70 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State +6.0 142.5 74% 75–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Ohio +9.9 146.7 79% 75–78 ✓
Little Rock @ Arkansas +21.8 146.5 90% 78–93 ✓
BYU @ Missouri State +1.1 143.3 58% 74–68 ✗
Grambling @ UConn +27.7 147.9 91% 59–88 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State -7.0 142.7 27% 68–66 ✓
Army @ Air Force +7.9 131.4 73% 58–76 ✓
Radford @ West Virginia +10.8 132.6 82% 51–67 ✓
Jackson State @ Illinois State +5.4 146.7 63% 61–55 ✗
Drexel @ Princeton +7.0 151.3 73% 79–81 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ DePaul +3.5 153.1 61% 68–64 ✗
Campbell @ VCU +4.3 123.9 65% 61–65 ✓
McNeese @ Wyoming +25.3 139.3 91% 58–79 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian +17.0 151.2 89% 65–98 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Colorado State +7.5 140.1 73% 58–74 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Temple +5.6 139.8 72% 72–81 ✓
Central Connecticut @ New Hampshire +16.8 140.1 88% 45–67 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State +10.5 156.3 83% 63–60 ✗
Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure +4.8 153.0 71% 65–68 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Lehigh +0.1 135.3 49% 81–75 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Baylor +33.4 152.1 91% 54–99 ✓
Toledo @ Michigan State +12.7 143.0 85% 68–81 ✓
Southern Utah @ Idaho -11.2 155.9 16% 81–75 ✓
Tennessee State @ Chicago State +6.3 139.6 55% 49–59 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Santa Clara +10.3 153.7 77% 78–75 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State +13.5 137.0 89% 82–95 ✓
American University @ Howard +11.7 150.1 84% 56–90 ✓
USC @ Washington State +1.3 140.7 56% 63–61 ✗
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +2.5 146.9 60% 78–73 ✗
Vanderbilt @ SMU -0.7 136.7 45% 72–84 ✗
Norfolk State @ Hampton -5.0 136.4 35% 57–58 ✗
UAB @ Saint Louis +4.4 149.1 62% 77–72 ✗
Wagner @ Stony Brook -1.1 139.9 45% 78–49 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.