But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
61–26 on winners spread MAE 10.3 87 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Virginia @ Baylor +0.7 153.4 53% 86–79 ✗
Delaware @ Duke +21.5 138.0 97% 58–92 ✓
Fairfield @ Wagner +11.9 138.8 86% 52–68 ✓
Columbia @ Maine +23.2 145.4 98% 70–93 ✓
Troy @ St. Thomas -5.7 131.9 30% 76–78 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Cleveland State +6.9 135.5 73% 58–67 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Wofford +6.7 152.1 73% 58–60 ✓
Campbell @ App State -0.3 134.1 49% 63–58 ✓
UC San Diego @ Navy +22.7 131.3 98% 69–78 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ George Washington +18.9 150.1 96% 64–69 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Rice -0.9 136.3 47% 71–88 ✗
Utah Valley @ Morgan State -3.8 131.4 36% 72–73 ✗
UCF @ Oklahoma State -0.5 127.1 48% 60–56 ✓
Charlotte @ Tulsa -7.0 133.8 26% 68–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ Liberty -1.0 130.6 46% 76–72 ✓
Pennsylvania @ West Virginia +18.2 143.0 95% 58–92 ✓
Morehead State @ Vanderbilt +6.3 133.4 72% 43–76 ✓
Bucknell @ Georgia +8.1 139.0 77% 61–65 ✓
Lipscomb @ Notre Dame +16.8 153.9 94% 65–66 ✓
Bellarmine @ Clemson +4.5 135.5 66% 66–76 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ SIU Edwardsville -1.8 168.5 44% 78–79 ✗
South Carolina @ Davidson +8.4 147.0 78% 60–69 ✓
UT Martin @ Ole Miss +26.8 138.6 99% 68–72 ✓
Vermont @ Iona +12.3 141.0 87% 50–71 ✓
Southern Utah @ Kansas +14.2 149.7 90% 76–82 ✓
Texas Southern @ Auburn +19.9 141.2 96% 56–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Mississippi Valley State -12.4 138.2 13% 68–76 ✗
Western Michigan @ Houston Christian -0.2 126.4 49% 90–84 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Northern Arizona +8.2 137.4 77% 54–63 ✓
Nevada @ UT Arlington +8.8 139.5 79% 62–43 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northwestern +25.5 124.9 99% 52–60 ✓
South Alabama @ Oklahoma +9.3 124.3 80% 60–64 ✓
Florida @ Florida State -0.6 148.2 48% 76–67 ✓
Villanova @ Michigan State +17.0 126.1 94% 71–73 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ UConn +22.8 127.6 98% 50–86 ✓
UNC Asheville @ East Texas A&M -12.8 179.6 12% 72–64 ✓
Boston College @ George Mason +7.8 133.3 76% 71–56 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Alabama +28.7 130.8 100% 62–104 ✓
Denver @ Idaho State +19.3 134.8 96% 70–69 ✗
Grambling @ Grand Canyon +2.0 127.2 57% 48–81 ✓
Arkansas State @ UC Davis +12.3 133.5 87% 60–75 ✓
Southern @ California -0.4 129.5 48% 74–66 ✓
Merrimack @ Montana +14.8 146.4 91% 51–62 ✓
Boise State @ Loyola Chicago -3.6 131.9 37% 70–48 ✓
Santa Clara @ DePaul +5.5 156.6 69% 69–61 ✗
Illinois @ UCLA +3.2 158.2 62% 79–70 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Pacific +21.5 165.6 97% 94–91 ✗
High Point @ UNLV +9.0 144.1 79% 68–78 ✓
Cal Poly @ Stanford +5.7 122.5 70% 43–80 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ USC +2.4 131.9 59% 74–83 ✓
Rider @ Central Arkansas -11.3 136.2 15% 85–90 ✗
Western Carolina @ Lamar -7.5 144.2 25% 98–91 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Lafayette +3.8 135.7 63% 50–55 ✓
Niagara @ Stetson +11.1 136.4 84% 66–62 ✗
Robert Morris @ Dayton +21.0 137.2 97% 51–60 ✓
Saint Louis @ Maryland +4.6 141.3 66% 67–95 ✓
Elon @ NC State +36.1 163.6 100% 63–74 ✓
Saint Peter's @ St. Francis Brooklyn -2.3 143.4 42% 58–61 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Binghamton +16.1 158.1 93% 75–60 ✗
Winthrop @ Mercer +15.3 171.6 92% 68–77 ✓
Chicago State @ Kent State +28.3 153.1 99% 59–88 ✓
Bowling Green @ St. Bonaventure +11.8 136.3 86% 68–81 ✓
Lindenwood @ McNeese +7.0 133.1 74% 78–60 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Oakland +0.7 175.4 53% 90–92 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State +8.5 125.7 78% 51–75 ✓
Evansville @ SMU +5.8 136.5 70% 47–55 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Georgia State +5.1 143.1 68% 53–57 ✓
Buffalo @ Howard -2.6 163.9 41% 59–63 ✗
San José State @ Northern Colorado +3.6 131.0 63% 80–69 ✗
American University @ NJIT +4.4 121.4 66% 58–53 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Bradley +3.9 132.8 64% 60–73 ✓
Army @ William & Mary +4.7 162.6 66% 67–76 ✓
Campbell @ SE Louisiana -4.9 138.4 33% 69–70 ✗
Miami @ Providence +0.8 153.0 53% 74–64 ✗
South Carolina State @ North Florida +10.0 162.8 82% 66–72 ✓
Utah Tech @ Idaho +5.0 139.5 68% 81–71 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Gardner-Webb +11.8 145.8 86% 64–66 ✓
UIC @ Fordham +16.0 133.2 93% 65–79 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Longwood +16.1 159.9 93% 83–99 ✓
Northeastern @ Syracuse +10.5 146.2 83% 48–76 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ UNC Asheville +13.7 169.8 89% 77–75 ✗
Belmont @ George Mason +5.8 143.8 70% 66–62 ✗
Fresno State @ North Texas +5.5 112.4 69% 52–61 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Florida Atlantic +14.0 152.5 90% 55–76 ✓
Youngstown State @ UC San Diego -15.1 155.8 8% 73–54 ✓
Western Michigan @ Rice -4.3 146.2 35% 88–96 ✗
Norfolk State @ Alabama A&M -5.5 150.3 31% 89–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.