Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | DEP -138 SCU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | DEP -4.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -1.8 (-9.8) | 148.6 (-18.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -3.6 (-11.6) | 148.2 (-18.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -3.7 (-11.7) | 147.8 (-17.8) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -3.3 (-11.3) | 148.5 (-18.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#119) | -1.9 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#12) | 0.65 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#17) | 0.88 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.733 (#20) | 0.545 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 84.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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