Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -175 WMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +8 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -4.6 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -1.3 (+9.3) | 148.1 (+35.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -1.7 (+9.7) | 149.9 (+34.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -1.1 (+9.1) | 146.2 (+37.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -1.0 (+9.0) | 147.4 (+36.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#358) | -3.6 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#287) | -1.36 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#287) | -2.03 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.146 (#359) | 0.269 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 35.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 22.4% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 40.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 16.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 69.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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