Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA +120 CLT -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -6.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -2.2 (-0.8) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -3.2 (+0.2) | 134.0 (-1.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -3.4 (+0.4) | 135.6 (-2.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -2.5 (-0.5) | 135.8 (-2.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TLSA 79 – 74 CLT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | TLSA 86 – 74 CLT |
| Jan 12, 2025 | TLSA 69 – 63 CLT |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TLSA 69 – 67 CLT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | CLT 84 – 76 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L12 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#93) | 11.0 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#54) | 1.55 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#39) | 2.39 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#55) | 0.604 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 37.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 85.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.