Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -300 NCAT +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -12.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -8.9 (-6.9) | 140.3 (-10.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -8.4 (-6.4) | 139.9 (-9.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -6.4 (-4.4) | 142.0 (-12.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -7.0 (-5.0) | 140.2 (-10.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2022 | GWEB 69 – 62 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#128) | -10.0 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#276) | -0.56 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#273) | -0.82 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#287) | 0.542 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 27.7% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 10.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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