Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -2000 UTM +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -27.2 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -23.0 (-19.0) | 139.0 (+1.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -20.9 (-16.9) | 138.3 (+1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -19.4 (-15.4) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -25.2 (-21.2) | 141.8 (-1.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2020 | MISS 90 – 43 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#40) | -9.9 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#9) | -1.78 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.80 (#8) | -3.02 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.823 (#4) | 0.260 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 42.6% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 46.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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