Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -27.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +47 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -24.0 (+23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -25.5 (+21.5) | 140.7 (-7.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -20.6 (+26.4) | 137.3 (-4.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -20.4 (+26.6) | 137.5 (-4.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -23.2 (+23.8) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | MISS 72 – 68 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 8-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#42) | -8.7 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#60) | -0.96 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#49) | -2.77 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#121) | 0.410 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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