Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -800 MORE +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +33 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -6.9 (+26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -6.9 (+26.1) | 132.6 (-13.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -4.0 (+29.0) | 134.7 (-15.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -4.5 (+28.5) | 137.1 (-18.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -4.2 (+28.8) | 135.8 (-16.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#246) | -2.1 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#177) | 0.49 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#154) | 0.67 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#273) | 0.648 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 26.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 8.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.