He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
UNF Arena · November 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UNF -15.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money UNF -1400 / SCST +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNF win
Actual UNF +6 138 Won
Massey UNF -8.8 (-2.8) — —
Massey Totals — 162.6 (-24.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNF -4.5 (+1.5) 152.7 (-14.7) 77% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNF -4.4 (+1.6) 155.2 (-17.2) 67% ✓
Baseline ML UNF -5.1 (+0.9) 155.9 (-17.9) 64% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNF -3.5 (+2.5) 153.9 (-15.9) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 14, 2023 SCST 87 – 77 UNF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNF SCST
Overall 14-17 5-26
Conference 9-9 2-12
Home 11-2 4-6
Away 3-14 1-19
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 0-2 0-4
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 74.8 72.1
Avg Pts Against 79.0 84.7
Massey -9.7 (#333) -10.0 (#336)
Bradley-Terry -1.52 (#305) -1.37 (#293)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.33 (#336) -1.80 (#284)
RPI 0.406 (#265) 0.394 (#278)
Shooting & Four Factors UNF SCST
FG% 34.9% 38.4%
3PT% 27.1% 30.6%
REB / G 34.0 35.0
OREB / G 11.5 12.8
AST / TO 0.65 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 41.3% 43.3%
TOV% 20.4% 16.2%
ORB% 26.1% 29.7%
FT Rate 20.6% 16.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 56.6%
Opp TOV% 13.2% 15.6%
DRB% 65.2% 60.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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