Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | SCST +220 UNF -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +10 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -7.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -5.4 (+15.4) | 146.6 (+17.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -5.1 (+15.1) | 147.2 (+16.8) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | UNF 72 – 66 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#336) | 7.3 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#225) | 1.75 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#235) | 2.49 (#29) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 0.0% | 45.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.43 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 32.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 28.4% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 40.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 44.7% |
Game Analysis
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