Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -800 SEMO +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -4.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -4.0 (+9.0) | 142.2 (-9.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -4.8 (+8.2) | 139.5 (-6.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -5.2 (+7.8) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -4.8 (+8.2) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | BRAD 88 – 60 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#117) | 6.9 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#154) | 2.55 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#159) | 3.56 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#155) | 0.552 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 41.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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