Alabama A&M
Bulldogs
83
–
89
FINAL
Neutral
ATL Has Something to Say HBCU Challenge
Norfolk State
Spartans
Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU +600 NORF -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +6 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -8.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.2 (+1.2) | 141.5 (+30.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -5.9 (-0.1) | 144.9 (+27.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -6.7 (+0.7) | 145.3 (+26.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -6.4 (+0.4) | 145.2 (+26.8) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 23, 2024 | NORF 81 – 66 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#324) | -0.4 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#346) | 0.69 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#340) | 0.95 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.269 (#344) | 0.603 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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