Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -4000 JXST +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +42 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -27.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -26.7 (+15.3) | 133.3 (+32.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -29.3 (+12.7) | 140.5 (+25.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -20.2 (+21.8) | 135.3 (+30.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | ALA 65 – 59 JXST |
| Nov 26, 2020 | ALA 81 – 57 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#5) | -3.1 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#35) | -1.59 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#43) | -2.78 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#45) | 0.125 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 58.3 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 19.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 46.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 33.2% | 40.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 40.0% |
Game Analysis
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