Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +6 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -20.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -17.7 (-11.7) | 150.5 (-26.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -18.5 (-12.5) | 153.4 (-29.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -17.5 (-11.5) | 154.3 (-30.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -19.7 (-13.7) | 153.1 (-29.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | ALA 104 – 62 JXST |
| Nov 26, 2020 | ALA 81 – 57 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#11) | 0.1 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#24) | -0.48 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.65 (#24) | -0.59 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.716 (#1) | 0.469 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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