Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | KU -2500 SUU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | KU -13.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -18.0 (-12.0) | 147.6 (+10.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -18.2 (-12.2) | 149.1 (+8.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -12.2 (-6.2) | 150.4 (+7.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#37) | 3.8 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#55) | -0.15 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#62) | -0.07 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#71) | 0.562 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.03 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 8.2% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 40.0% |
Game Analysis
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