Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -150 EMU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +2 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -0.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -0.8 (+1.2) | 159.5 (+22.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -0.2 (+2.2) | 157.9 (+24.1) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -0.0 (+2.0) | 161.7 (+20.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -1.4 (+0.6) | 160.7 (+21.3) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | EMU 97 – 91 OAK |
| Nov 22, 2024 | EMU 68 – 64 OAK |
| Dec 9, 2023 | OAK 77 – 63 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -14.7 (#355) | -6.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#361) | -1.56 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.25 (#361) | -2.26 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#247) | 0.294 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 38.1% |
Game Analysis
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