Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -320 EMU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -7.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -6.4 (-10.4) | 128.9 (+3.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -3.2 (-7.2) | 127.6 (+4.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.6 (-8.6) | 125.9 (+6.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.3 (-9.3) | 126.8 (+5.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | EMU 97 – 91 OAK |
| Dec 9, 2023 | OAK 77 – 63 EMU |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OAK 92 – 90 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#256) | -5.5 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#252) | -0.80 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#236) | -1.85 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#170) | 0.317 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 17.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.4% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 9.8% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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