Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | EMU +188 OAK -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +14 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -7.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -6.6 (-7.4) | 140.0 (-0.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.6 (-8.4) | 141.8 (-1.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -5.5 (-8.5) | 142.0 (-2.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -6.2 (-7.8) | 141.3 (-1.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | EMU 97 – 91 OAK |
| Nov 22, 2024 | EMU 68 – 64 OAK |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OAK 92 – 90 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#320) | 3.8 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#176) | 0.25 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#180) | 0.38 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#199) | 0.554 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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