Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | EMU +100 OAK -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +6 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -10.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -5.2 (+0.8) | 144.6 (+43.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -7.3 (-1.3) | 143.3 (+44.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -8.1 (-2.1) | 144.3 (+43.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -7.1 (-1.1) | 144.5 (+43.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2024 | EMU 68 – 64 OAK |
| Dec 9, 2023 | OAK 77 – 63 EMU |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OAK 92 – 90 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#182) | -4.6 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#301) | -0.55 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#314) | -0.50 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#332) | 0.598 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 59.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 10.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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