Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +300 WCU -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +7 | 189 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -6.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+45.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -4.7 (-2.3) | 142.4 (+46.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -5.3 (-1.7) | 141.9 (+47.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -3.9 (-3.1) | 140.4 (+48.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -4.2 (-2.8) | 141.6 (+47.4) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#258) | 2.4 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#226) | 0.54 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#240) | 0.77 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#246) | 0.524 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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