Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -300 LIN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +18 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -7.1 (-25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -2.7 (-20.7) | 135.1 (+2.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -0.2 (-18.2) | 131.9 (+6.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -3.6 (-21.6) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -3.5 (-21.5) | 136.3 (+1.7) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#341) | -9.4 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#340) | -1.99 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.65 (#344) | -2.69 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#312) | 0.337 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 33.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 21.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 38.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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