Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -2500 CHST +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +29 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -28.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -23.2 (+5.8) | 148.0 (-1.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -21.5 (+7.5) | 149.2 (-2.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -22.5 (+6.5) | 149.5 (-2.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -27.2 (+1.8) | 149.6 (-2.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 0-0 |
| Home | 15-0 | 8-0 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#12) | -6.7 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#13) | -0.23 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.26 (#12) | -0.75 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.760 (#16) | 0.484 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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