Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -700 BELL +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -4.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -7.0 (+3.0) | 136.6 (+5.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.8 (+4.2) | 134.5 (+7.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.7 (+4.3) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -6.6 (+3.4) | 135.6 (+6.4) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#262) | 0.1 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#173) | 0.10 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#175) | -0.14 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#152) | 0.362 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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