Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -5000 ELON +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -36.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -24.8 (-13.8) | 153.8 (-16.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -24.5 (-13.5) | 153.3 (-16.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -31.7 (-20.7) | 154.3 (-17.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -32.4 (-21.4) | 154.5 (-17.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#9) | -12.9 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#68) | -2.97 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#68) | -4.68 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.806 (#10) | 0.309 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.