Betting Lines
| Spread | NJIT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | NJIT -163 AMER +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +5 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | NJIT -6.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NJIT -1.6 (-6.6) | 124.3 (-13.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -2.9 (-7.9) | 131.0 (-20.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -3.6 (-8.6) | 129.4 (-18.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NJIT -3.5 (-8.5) | 123.7 (-12.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | AMER 87 – 73 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#290) | -3.9 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#295) | -1.45 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#297) | -2.48 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#286) | 0.278 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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