Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | AMER -600 NJIT +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +14 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | AMER -24.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -14.9 (-0.9) | 139.3 (+20.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -15.8 (-1.8) | 138.2 (+21.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -18.1 (-4.1) | 138.7 (+21.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -17.9 (-3.9) | 136.3 (+23.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | AMER 58 – 53 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#260) | -19.1 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#215) | -2.27 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#221) | -3.31 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.368 (#275) | 0.368 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 30.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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