Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | GCU -900 GRAM +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +33 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -1.8 (+31.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -4.8 (+28.2) | 133.4 (-4.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -7.2 (+25.8) | 128.4 (+0.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -4.1 (+28.9) | 132.9 (-3.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | GCU 74 – 53 GRAM |
| Nov 26, 2020 | GCU 69 – 53 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#204) | 5.3 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#93) | 1.35 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#54) | 2.54 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#64) | 0.802 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 46.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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