You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · November 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -2.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money WOF -138 / GWEB +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total WOF win
Actual WOF +2 118 Won
Massey WOF -7.1 (-5.1)
Massey Totals 151.4 (-33.4)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML WOF -4.1 (-2.1) 138.2 (-20.2) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -4.3 (-2.3) 145.5 (-27.5) 67%
Baseline ML WOF -4.8 (-2.8) 146.4 (-28.4) 67%
Baseline Plus ML WOF -5.4 (-3.4) 141.5 (-23.5) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 16, 2025 WOF 8357 GWEB
Dec 5, 2024 WOF 8864 GWEB
Dec 7, 2023 WOF 8166 GWEB
Dec 9, 2021 WOF 7870 GWEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WOF GWEB
Overall 17-16 15-16
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 12-4 8-5
Away 4-11 6-10
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 0-2 0-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 72.3 67.4
Avg Pts Against 74.0 66.7
Massey 1.1 (#163) 2.4 (#128)
Bradley-Terry -0.71 (#247) -1.12 (#276)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.95 (#242) -1.50 (#273)
RPI 0.514 (#166) 0.378 (#287)
Shooting & Four Factors WOF GWEB
FG% 43.2% 43.9%
3PT% 35.8% 35.0%
REB / G 32.0 31.7
OREB / G 12.0 8.0
AST / TO 1.14 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 50.3%
TOV% 15.4% 21.4%
ORB% 32.4% 24.0%
FT Rate 26.3% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.5% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 12.6% 18.8%
DRB% 64.5% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 31.9%

Game Analysis

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