Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -138 GWEB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -7.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -5.4 (-3.4) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.1 (-2.1) | 138.2 (-20.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -4.3 (-2.3) | 145.5 (-27.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -4.8 (-2.8) | 146.4 (-28.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2025 | WOF 83 – 57 GWEB |
| Dec 5, 2024 | WOF 88 – 64 GWEB |
| Dec 7, 2023 | WOF 81 – 66 GWEB |
| Dec 9, 2021 | WOF 78 – 70 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#163) | 2.4 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#247) | -1.12 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#242) | -1.50 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#166) | 0.378 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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