Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -0.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -0.2 (-8.2) | 136.9 (+11.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -2.8 (-10.8) | 140.1 (+7.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -1.7 (-9.7) | 140.3 (+7.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -1.2 (-9.2) | 138.1 (+9.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2025 | WOF 83 – 57 GWEB |
| Dec 5, 2024 | WOF 88 – 64 GWEB |
| Dec 7, 2023 | WOF 81 – 66 GWEB |
| Nov 19, 2022 | WOF 60 – 58 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#182) | 3.8 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#194) | 0.14 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#189) | 0.18 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#157) | 0.496 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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