Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB +500 WOF -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +26 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -8.4 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -9.3 (-16.7) | 146.2 (-6.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -8.0 (-18.0) | 146.4 (-6.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -8.0 (-18.0) | 147.4 (-7.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -7.2 (-18.8) | 148.3 (-8.3) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | WOF 88 – 64 GWEB |
| Dec 7, 2023 | WOF 81 – 66 GWEB |
| Nov 19, 2022 | WOF 60 – 58 GWEB |
| Dec 9, 2021 | WOF 78 – 70 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-29 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 3-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.7 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -18.6 (#361) | -5.7 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.37 (#353) | -0.01 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.89 (#354) | -0.52 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#327) | 0.494 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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