Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +200 UTU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -6.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -0.6 (-10.6) | 137.2 (+14.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.8 (-12.8) | 138.1 (+13.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -3.1 (-13.1) | 137.4 (+14.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -1.9 (-11.9) | 139.2 (+12.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | IDHO 63 – 62 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#298) | -4.6 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#355) | -1.18 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.23 (#353) | -2.89 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.080 (#362) | 0.481 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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