Betting Lines
| Spread | UTU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UTU -333 IDHO +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +1 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UTU -9.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTU -9.2 (-10.2) | 141.3 (-16.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -6.9 (-7.9) | 142.0 (-17.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -7.9 (-8.9) | 141.3 (-16.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -6.5 (-7.5) | 141.9 (-16.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2022 | UTU 81 – 71 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#158) | -4.2 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#71) | -1.01 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#90) | -1.21 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#56) | 0.457 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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