What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Davidson Wildcats
69 – 60
FINAL Neutral Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
South Carolina Gamecocks
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DAV -2.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money DAV -138 / SC +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total DAV win
Actual DAV +9 129 Won
Massey DAV -9.1 (-0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 147.0 (-18.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 87% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DAV -5.7 (+3.3) 147.0 (-18.0) 69% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DAV -5.5 (+3.5) 145.8 (-16.8) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DAV -5.0 (+4.0) 146.1 (-17.1) 75% ✓
Baseline ML DAV -5.1 (+3.9) 146.9 (-17.9) 70% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DAV SC
Overall 16-16 11-21
Conference 8-10 4-14
Home 7-8 7-8
Away 6-6 4-8
Neutral 3-2 0-5
Last 5 2-1 2-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.3 64.3
Avg Pts Against 68.8 72.6
Massey -4.3 (#263) -13.4 (#352)
Bradley-Terry 1.95 (#34) 0.06 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.57 (#50) -0.33 (#197)
RPI 0.610 (#74) 0.556 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors DAV SC
FG% 47.5% 36.4%
3PT% 33.8% 34.7%
REB / G 35.3 41.3
OREB / G 9.0 14.0
AST / TO 1.17 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 43.2%
TOV% 18.3% 21.5%
ORB% 25.0% 34.1%
FT Rate 29.9% 18.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 14.7%
DRB% 65.8% 77.4%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 13.0%

Game Analysis

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