Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | AUB -4000 TXSO +2200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +16 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -19.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -17.3 (-1.3) | 143.1 (-15.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -18.1 (-2.1) | 140.7 (-12.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -16.9 (-0.9) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -18.0 (-2.0) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2020 | AUB 80 – 63 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#91) | -5.8 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#79) | -0.24 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#82) | -0.88 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.694 (#32) | 0.557 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.7% | 25.3% |
| REB / G | 47.3 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 20.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 48.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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