I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
JMA Wireless Dome · November 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -15.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SYR -1200 / NE +850
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +28 124 Won
Massey SYR -10.7 (+17.3)
Massey Totals 146.1 (-22.1)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML SYR -10.3 (+17.7) 141.4 (-17.4) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -7.6 (+20.4) 144.2 (-20.2) 75%
Baseline ML SYR -7.7 (+20.3) 147.6 (-23.6) 79%
Baseline Plus ML SYR -8.2 (+19.8) 144.0 (-20.0) 77%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 20, 2025 SYR 9183 NE
Dec 16, 2020 SYR 6256 NE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR NE
Overall 17-15 10-20
Conference 10-10 6-12
Home 11-7 6-6
Away 5-6 3-12
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 1-1 0-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 74.1 65.3
Avg Pts Against 72.9 71.7
Massey -3.7 (#249) -6.0 (#288)
Bradley-Terry -1.71 (#318) -2.29 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.69 (#314) -2.77 (#319)
RPI 0.408 (#264) 0.398 (#271)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR NE
FG% 45.8% 39.2%
3PT% 37.8% 31.7%
REB / G 38.0 32.0
OREB / G 12.0 10.0
AST / TO 0.85 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 46.6%
TOV% 18.3% 20.2%
ORB% 34.8% 28.6%
FT Rate 30.5% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.7% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 14.8%
DRB% 73.2% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 12.2% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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