Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -1200 PENN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +34 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -18.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -18.3 (+15.7) | 142.9 (+7.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -18.2 (+15.8) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -15.9 (+18.1) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -18.4 (+15.6) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#26) | 0.5 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#38) | 0.87 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#48) | 1.85 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#100) | 0.559 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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