Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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73–29 on winners spread MAE 10.8 102 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware @ Saint Peter's +3.2 141.2 66% 64–72 ✓
Akron @ Yale +7.2 158.6 73% 58–74 ✓
Holy Cross @ Siena +5.1 130.6 68% 78–70 ✗
Longwood @ North Carolina Central +1.8 142.1 56% 82–67 ✗
App State @ North Texas +13.9 127.0 87% 64–68 ✓
St. John's @ Providence -3.5 142.5 37% 72–70 ✓
Cincinnati @ Dayton +1.1 136.3 58% 66–59 ✗
Jackson State @ UTEP +14.7 140.2 89% 61–67 ✓
Florida A&M @ BYU +22.5 149.0 91% 57–103 ✓
Southern @ Loyola Marymount +3.3 133.1 62% 73–89 ✓
Duke @ Georgia Tech -12.9 136.4 16% 82–56 ✓
North Florida @ Florida +20.6 164.1 90% 45–99 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier -1.0 150.8 39% 72–70 ✓
UConn @ Butler -3.7 144.4 37% 78–74 ✓
South Carolina State @ Northern Kentucky +4.6 135.3 67% 47–58 ✓
SMU @ Boston College -9.7 146.5 19% 103–77 ✓
Vermont @ Dartmouth +1.7 132.3 54% 54–84 ✓
Princeton @ Rutgers +4.1 151.5 64% 83–82 ✗
Penn State @ Drexel -6.8 144.2 22% 75–64 ✓
Chattanooga @ Indiana +15.4 151.1 88% 65–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Maryland +18.5 154.2 90% 60–87 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Saint Joseph's +5.2 135.6 71% 62–82 ✓
Mississippi State @ Memphis +3.4 152.7 63% 79–66 ✗
Fairfield @ Monmouth +2.4 142.0 60% 74–88 ✓
UMBC @ Marist +6.0 143.2 74% 73–76 ✓
Maine @ Stony Brook -3.7 137.6 36% 72–74 ✗
Saint Francis @ Robert Morris +6.8 141.1 74% 77–90 ✓
Navy @ Coppin State -3.3 136.7 31% 60–68 ✗
Lehigh @ Long Island University +1.8 142.3 54% 60–59 ✗
Hampton @ Loyola Maryland +3.8 138.8 63% 76–68 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Central Connecticut +8.3 133.8 79% 80–84 ✓
Manhattan @ Presbyterian +5.2 145.6 68% 86–81 ✗
Niagara @ St. Bonaventure +18.1 128.8 90% 52–71 ✓
Youngstown State @ South Carolina Upstate -6.4 147.9 25% 72–64 ✓
Sam Houston @ Pittsburgh +20.3 155.7 90% 78–110 ✓
Lamar @ Texas Tech +15.6 138.6 88% 57–101 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston +20.5 134.4 90% 51–87 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Michigan State +13.3 158.5 86% 69–86 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +11.2 132.9 86% 62–73 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky +3.6 146.6 63% 91–80 ✗
Louisville @ Florida State +3.2 146.1 66% 90–76 ✗
Boston University @ UMass Lowell +7.2 145.0 77% 71–83 ✓
Chicago State @ Cal State Northridge +19.8 146.0 90% 57–81 ✓
Wright State @ Eastern Michigan -2.2 146.8 40% 82–86 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Bowling Green -4.4 151.9 32% 93–68 ✓
Evansville @ Ball State +3.1 136.5 62% 43–80 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Kansas City -2.2 138.3 41% 66–73 ✗
High Point @ Southern Illinois +2.2 143.6 58% 94–81 ✗
Mercer @ Winthrop +7.2 156.2 75% 97–102 ✓
UNC Asheville @ UNC Wilmington +6.3 145.0 74% 74–85 ✓
UT Arlington @ Liberty +14.5 144.8 86% 56–79 ✓
UAlbany @ Fordham +6.4 150.5 74% 83–87 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Miami +9.3 149.7 82% 78–74 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Minnesota +11.1 140.2 86% 60–74 ✓
James Madison @ South Alabama +1.8 134.4 58% 49–77 ✓
Georgia State @ Troy +11.6 144.1 88% 57–77 ✓
Canisius @ Bradley +21.4 145.6 91% 59–92 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Arkansas +23.2 152.6 91% 67–95 ✓
UC Irvine @ Duquesne -6.1 129.6 19% 54–70 ✗
North Carolina @ UCLA +5.6 145.2 70% 76–74 ✗
UC Davis @ Pepperdine +1.8 140.4 53% 46–85 ✓
UC Riverside @ UNLV +5.3 138.8 68% 53–66 ✓
East Texas A&M @ South Florida +6.6 140.5 73% 62–88 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina +4.3 145.1 68% 84–79 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Tulsa +14.3 134.0 86% 48–93 ✓
Austin Peay @ Vanderbilt +20.4 139.4 91% 55–85 ✓
Furman @ Harvard -3.6 133.1 31% 77–63 ✓
Marshall @ Southern Miss -1.2 142.7 47% 66–68 ✗
Old Dominion @ UL Monroe +3.9 139.9 62% 80–75 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State +10.1 137.3 84% 67–97 ✓
Bellarmine @ Colorado +21.2 150.4 91% 55–79 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +15.8 134.3 89% 59–77 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Texas State +8.6 145.1 81% 61–83 ✓
Tennessee State @ Morehead State +3.4 149.9 64% 68–74 ✓
Lafayette @ Portland -1.9 140.7 43% 64–74 ✗
Texas Southern @ Abilene Christian +10.5 144.1 83% 65–69 ✓
Central Michigan @ Arizona +18.7 150.0 90% 41–94 ✓
Samford @ Alabama A&M -11.3 161.5 15% 97–90 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah +4.7 146.0 68% 83–75 ✗
Idaho @ Pacific +2.9 139.3 64% 95–72 ✗
Washington State @ Northern Iowa +0.6 145.7 54% 76–68 ✗
DePaul @ Northwestern +7.0 138.0 73% 64–84 ✓
Arizona State @ Massachusetts -10.7 147.8 19% 78–62 ✓
Villanova @ Creighton +3.5 146.7 64% 79–86 ✓
Purdue @ Auburn +14.9 151.7 85% 69–87 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Indiana +5.0 139.9 73% 77–46 ✗
Western Illinois @ Lindenwood +2.0 135.7 60% 65–71 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +2.0 137.3 59% 64–80 ✓
Queens University @ Ole Miss +22.2 147.9 91% 62–80 ✓
South Dakota @ Santa Clara +13.8 164.7 88% 81–98 ✓
Colorado State @ Nevada +10.7 142.3 85% 66–64 ✗
California Baptist @ Fresno State +0.1 148.4 51% 86–69 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Davidson +10.7 139.7 85% 63–76 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Denver -3.0 153.2 38% 82–75 ✓
Kentucky @ Ohio State -1.5 158.6 37% 65–85 ✗
Green Bay @ Drake +17.7 136.3 91% 62–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Florida International +8.4 142.9 76% 69–75 ✓
Montana @ San Francisco +15.6 145.0 88% 67–71 ✓
VMI @ Richmond +5.0 143.8 70% 71–78 ✓
Jacksonville @ UCF +10.0 148.3 83% 66–86 ✓
Utah @ Iowa +2.2 156.5 60% 88–95 ✓
Temple @ Rhode Island +7.0 146.8 75% 79–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.