Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SF -4000 MONT +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SF -17.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -16.6 (-12.6) | 145.4 (-7.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -16.2 (-12.2) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -15.6 (-11.6) | 145.0 (-7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -14.5 (-10.5) | 147.1 (-9.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 17-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#52) | -2.9 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#61) | 0.60 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#61) | 0.77 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#54) | 0.550 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.