Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -50000 LAM +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +44 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -17.7 (+26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -16.5 (+27.5) | 136.9 (+21.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -15.7 (+28.3) | 138.2 (+19.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -15.6 (+28.4) | 138.6 (+19.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -20.8 (+23.2) | 141.6 (+16.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | TTU 89 – 57 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#23) | 1.6 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#92) | -0.54 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#67) | -0.50 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#97) | 0.466 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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