Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -27.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +32 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -27.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -28.4 (+3.6) | 150.8 (-4.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -27.7 (+4.3) | 152.1 (-6.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -24.0 (+8.0) | 153.3 (-7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -26.7 (+5.3) | 146.0 (+0.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | TTU 101 – 57 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 0-18 |
| Home | 18-0 | 2-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#19) | -7.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#124) | -2.43 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#134) | -3.05 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#262) | 0.387 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 17.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 48.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 79.9% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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