Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -215 HC +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -6.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -5.4 (-13.4) | 133.6 (+14.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.1 (-13.1) | 130.6 (+17.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.4 (-13.4) | 132.0 (+16.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -4.8 (-12.8) | 130.9 (+17.1) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2025 | SIE 73 – 69 HC |
| Nov 7, 2023 | SIE 73 – 71 HC |
| Nov 8, 2022 | SIE 75 – 68 HC |
| Dec 11, 2021 | SIE 72 – 59 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#244) | -6.9 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#189) | 0.46 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#198) | -0.09 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#201) | 0.527 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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